GT247.com Trading Blog | Research Notes

Exxaro Resources Ltd JSE:EXX - technical trade note

25 April 2018 /

Exxaro Resources Ltd (EXX) has been consolidating over the last month under the 11593c level which is giving some resistance to the price ...

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BHP Billiton PLC JSE:BIL - technical trade note

18 April 2018 /

Update - BHP Billiton PLC (BIL) target price 1 reached. [23rd April 2018]

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Mondi Limited JSE:MND - technical trade note

18 April 2018 /

Trade idea on Mondi Limited (MND) There is a high probability that the price on Mondi Limited (MND) will move higher looking at the inverse ...

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Mediclinic International PLC JSE:MEI - technical trade note

17 April 2018 /

Trade idea on Mediclinic International PLC (MEI) I am looking to buy Mediclinic International PLC (MEI) at 10500c with a first target price ...

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Old Mutual - Ready for London exit by Mark Ingham

17 April 2018 /

Old Mutual has not been a favoured choice for me in insurance, with Discovery my top pick, followed by Sanlam. Old Mutual’s Belville ...

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Trade idea on Old Mutual PLC (OML)

11 April 2018 /

Trade idea on Old Mutual PLC (OML)

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Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA JSE:CFR - technical trade note

10 April 2018 /

Trade idea on Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA (CFR) The price action in Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA (CFR) has been testing the ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 6th April 2018

4 April 2018 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release Yes, folks it is that time again for the monthly US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers to be released. The number ...

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$USDCAD - Forex technical trade note

4 April 2018 /

I am looking to place a short trade on the USD/CAD as I have spotted a Head and Shoulders technical pattern on the currency pair. Also keep ...

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$USDJPY - Forex technical trade note

4 April 2018 /

I have spotted an inverse Head and Shoulders technical pattern on the USD/JPY currency pair and I am looking to place a long trade. Please ...

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Capitec Rallying round - [JSE:CPI] by Mark Ingham

29 March 2018 /

In my recent strategy note on banks (see “Richer Ramaphosa Rating” dated 22 March) I assessed only the big four banks, excluding Capitec as ...

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Richer Ramaphosa Rating - Big 4 banks by Mark Ingham

22 March 2018 /

The big four banks, FirstRand, Standard Bank, Barclays Africa Group, and Nedbank, are particularly sensitive to fluctuations in long bond ...

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NASDAQ - Potential "short" technical note

19 March 2018 /

I will be looking to place a short trade on the NASDAQ as it seems to be breaking out of a rising wedge formation. I am looking for a close ...

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Naspers - Potential "buy" technical note

14 March 2018 /

Naspers has presented a trade opportunity, and I am looking to go long as the price action has broken out from a descending channel, and a ...

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Imperial Holdings- A potential "short" technical note

14 March 2018 /

I am looking to place a short trade on Imperial Holdings Limited if I get a daily close below the 23700c level. The technical set up looks ...

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Progressive dividend hard to justify - MTN [JSE:MTN] by Mark Ingham

14 March 2018 /

What was noteworthy about the 2017 annual result was a return to a “progressive” dividend policy, the sort of policy that hit a buffer once ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 9 March 2018

6 March 2018 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release Yes, folks it is that time again for the monthly US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers to be released. Usually the ...

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EUR/USD - GO LONG (WITH CAUTION)

2 March 2018 /

EUR/USD – Daily Recommendation: GO LONG (WITH CAUTION) Current Trend: Short-term down, but oversold. Med and long-term up. Strategy: Go ...

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Trade Gold - SELL SHORT ON A BOUNCE

2 March 2018 /

GOLD ($) Current Trend: Short-term down. Med-term up. Long-term sideways to up. Strategy: Sell short on a bounce to $1325. Chart and ...

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ANGLO-AMERICAN-GT247-FUNDAMENTAL-ANALYSIS

Strengthening fundamentals - ANGLO AMERICAN [JSE:AGL] by Mark Ingham

1 March 2018 /

Since my last note on Anglo American dated 16 February (see “South African political tailwind”) the company has reported a pleasing set of ...

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Undervalued offshore opportunity on rand strength - BIDCORP [JSE:BID] by Mark Ingham

27 February 2018 /

Bidcorp, the international foodservice specialist, reported good underlying constant currency results for the six months ended 31 December ...

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S&P 500 INDEX - Temporary pullback

26 February 2018 /

Recommendation: BUY AGAIN AFTER A PULLBACK Current Trend: Short-term technically still down. Med-term sideways. Long-term up.

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Trading the USD/ZAR currency pair ahead of the budget speech

21 February 2018 /

*You can only trade this currency pair with the GT247.com USD account. Today’s budget speech (21 February 2018) is probably the most ...

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USD/ZAR - Technical Trade Note

20 February 2018 /

USD/ZAR – Daily Recommendation: LOOK TO GO LONG RANDS AGAIN *You can only trade this currency pair with the GT247.com USD account. ...

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South African political tailwind - Anglo American by Mark Ingham

16 February 2018 /

A week is a long time in politics, a quote attributed to British Prime Minister Harold Wilson. In South Africa, the winds of political ...

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A hedged half - HARMONY GOLD [JSE:HAR] by M N Ingham

13 February 2018 /

Harmony produced a very solid set of interim results for the six months ended 31 December 2017. The result exceeded my earlier expectation ...

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Bid-divest- BIDVEST [JSE:BVT] by M N Ingham

8 February 2018 /

If you want an example on the JSE of the shift in political mood, Bidvest, among others, fits the bill. The stock price has been almost ...

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Long trade for Vodacom

6 February 2018 /

Trade summary: Long VOD Target price: 18000c Entry: 16500c Stop ...

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Holding the line- VODACOM [JSE:VOD] by M N Ingham

5 February 2018 /

Vodacom released a reasonable Q3 F2018 trading update but there is little fundamental reason to warrant a valuation upgrade. I tend to view ...

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Research Note on Gold (XAU)

2 February 2018 /

Research on Gold (XAU) I am looking to long Gold (XAU) yet again and I am looking for a clear break and close above $ 1352/ ounce level ...

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Wall Street 30 - Technical Trade Note

2 February 2018 /

Trade idea on Wall Street 30 I am looking to get into the Wall Street 30 for a long trade, I know that the index has been running hard but ...

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Mr Price trade - UPDATE 2

1 February 2018 /

UPDATE 2: Another Update on MR Price Limited (MRP) and still in the money The price on MR Price Limited (MRP) is still moving higher and I ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 2 Feb 2018

1 February 2018 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release Friday is jobs day in the U.S.—with the January Non-Farm Payrolls being released on the 2nd of Feb at 15:30 in ...

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Mispriced - MR PRICE [JSE:MRP] by M N Ingham

31 January 2018 /

Mr Price is a good apparel retailer that is mispriced. After climbing by 37% since the end of November and by over 60% in six months the ...

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Long trade for Telkom

26 January 2018 /

Trade summary: Long TKG Entry: 5000c Stop Loss: 4500c Target price: 6000c The share price has been under ...

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Short trade for Kumba Iron Ore

26 January 2018 /

Trade summary: Short KIO Entry: 35500c Stop Loss: 39000c Target price: 30300c The stock has been having a great ...

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Brent Crude - Technical Take

26 January 2018 /

Technical take on Brent Crude

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The Power of the Rand

25 January 2018 /

In recent days we have seen the Rand take strides and strengthen against the major currencies but more so against the US dollar, which has ...

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Expensive, even at $74/ton spot iron ore - Kumba Iron Ore by M N Ingham

25 January 2018 /

Kumba is now significantly overvalued on a fundamental evaluation. Despite easing back to around R350 per share from highs above R400 a ...

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Mr Price - First target reached (UPDATE)

25 January 2018 /

In the Money and Update on MR Price Limited (MRP) My MR Price Limited trade has finally reached my first target price of 27522c as seen in ...

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Capitec - First Target Reached (UPDATE)

25 January 2018 /

TRADE CONCLUDED: In the money stop loss of R1035.00 triggered on the 26 January 2017. First target of R1060.50 reached. Take half profits ...

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GBP/USD - Technical Trade Note

23 January 2018 /

Technical take on GBP/USD As you can see from the stochastic oscillator this currency pair has been in an overbought level for a while. ...

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CAC 40 and EURO STOXX 50 - Technical Trade Note

23 January 2018 /

Double Technical Take CAC 40 and EURO STOXX 50 Barry Dumas gives two technical takes on these Index's.

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Naspers - Technical Trade Note

23 January 2018 /

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Capitec - Go Long

22 January 2018 /

According to the Andrew’s Pitchfork technical analysis tool, Capitec is testing a key support level. Due to the strengthening Rand I expect ...

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Mischievous rumblings or grains of truth? - by M N Ingham

22 January 2018 /

The now infamous Viceroy have a cloak-and-dagger modus operandi within a guise of anonymity that disregards common professional scruple. ...

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Mr Price - Technical Trade Note

18 January 2018 /

Trade note on Mr Price Group Limited (MRP)

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Clicks - Technical Trade Note

17 January 2018 /

Retail results came out for the South African market today and they were very successful. Clicks performed very well last year and I am ...

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Palladium - Go Long

17 January 2018 /

Palladium has had a stellar rally recently but it recently recorded a minor retracement. Short-to-medium forecasts anticipate increased ...

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AUD/EUR - Technical Trade Note

16 January 2018 /

AUD/EUR – Daily Recommendation: SELL SHORT Trend: Short-term sideways. Med-term down. Strategy: Sell short on an intraday break of its ...

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Woolworths JSE:WHL - Technical Trade Note

16 January 2018 /

On 16 November I put out a short trade on WHL. The trade was stopped out as a result of the retail sector booming on the back of the strong ...

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Nikkei 225 - Technical Trade Note

16 January 2018 /

Trade idea on Nikkei 225 (NI225)

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Earnings in Davy Jones' locker - [JSE:WHL] by M N Ingham

15 January 2018 /

I’ve had a Sell recommendation on Woolworths for some time. In fact, three years back I advised that “Woolies has its hands full with its ...

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EUR/USD - Technical Trade Note

12 January 2018 /

EUR/USD – Daily Recommendation: BUY Trend: Up on all main timeframes. Strategy: Buy at current levels, and/or on a minor pullback.

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Trump's gift to Sasol - [JSE:SOL] by M N Ingham

12 January 2018 /

In December, US President Donald Trump signed into law H.R. 1, originally known as the “Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.” There are major changes to ...

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S&P 500 – BUY MINOR PULLBACKS

11 January 2018 /

S&P 500 INDEX – Higher target Recommendation: BUY MINOR PULLBACKS Current Trend: Up on all main timeframes. Strategy: Buy on a one or two ...

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Tencent-Naspers-Spotify-Fundamental-Analysis

Music to your ears - Naspers & Tencent by M N Ingham

9 January 2018 /

Tencent, 33,3% owned by Naspers, is not short on corporate activity or pipeline. Spotify, a leader in music streaming, and Tencent Music ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 5 January 2018

5 January 2018 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release Friday is jobs day in the U.S.—with the November Non-Farm Payrolls being released on Friday the 5 of January at ...

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Richemont [JSE:CFR] pressure from strong rand

21 December 2017 /

Richemont the ultimate rand hedge has developed a head and shoulders in recent times. If you’re bullish on the rand after the news that ...

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Capitec [JSE:CPI] - last run of the year

19 December 2017 /

Capitec has broken the resistance level of 1000.00. Currently at 1048.00, Look for a pullback to buy and hold. One can also look to buy now ...

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FINI 15 Index - Higher Target

14 December 2017 /

FINI 15 INDEX – Higher target The JSE financial 15 index (or ‘fini’) of large-cap financial stocks, has broken out above an important ...

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“Politics-proofing your portfolio” M N Ingham

13 December 2017 /

The 54th ANC national conference runs from the 16th to the 20th of December. A new ANC president is to be elected. The difference between ...

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Brent Crude - New Breakout Potential

8 December 2017 /

Recommendation: LOOK TO BUY Current Trend: Short-term sideways. Med-term up. Strategy: Buy a close above line 3.

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“Looking at Liquidity” Steinhoff [JSE:SNH] - M N Ingham

7 December 2017 /

The latest ad hoc announcement from Steinhoff has two components – one which begs more questions than it answers relating to the validity ...

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USD/JPY Breaking Out

7 December 2017 /

Recommendation: BUY Current Trend: Sideways on all main timeframes. Strategy: Go long the USD/JPY at current levels.

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 8 December 2017

7 December 2017 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release Friday is jobs day in the U.S.—with the November Non-Farm Payrolls being released on the 8th December 2017 at ...

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“Ruptured Reputation” Steinhoff [JSE:SNH] - M N Ingham

6 December 2017 /

The damage Steinhoff faces, following acknowledgement by the Supervisory Board that there are in fact “accounting irregularitiesrequiring ...

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“Moab moolah” Harmony Gold - M N Ingham

4 December 2017 /

Harmony is getting a good deal for its purchase of three assets from AngloGold Ashanti, the most significant being Moab Khotsong mine in ...

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Gold (XAU) Technical Take

30 November 2017 /

Over the past several months, there has been good support on the pullbacks with the market continuing to put in higher highs and higher ...

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“No rating cliff edge but be cautious” - M N Ingham

28 November 2017 /

The ratings decisions by S&P and Moody’s tells us that which we already knew. S&P has been particularly forthright this past couple of ...

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GBP/CHF Moving up off support

27 November 2017 /

Recommendation: BUY Current Trend: Short-term sideways. Med and long-term up. Strategy: Buy at current levels/ add to on a further breakout ...

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[JSE:CFR] Richemont - Trading junk status with hedges

27 November 2017 /

On Friday we got downgraded to Junk by S&P and we saw our beloved rand weaken again. In times like these we like to run to our rand hedges ...

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S&P 500 – Heading towards target

23 November 2017 /

Recommendation: HOLD Current Trend: Up on all main timeframes. Strategy: Continue to hold the current long position; look to tighten stops ...

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Anglo American PLC [JSE:AGL] - Trade Note

21 November 2017 /

Anglo American PLC This is one of my favourites to trade, as the share has been making higher highs for the last 6 months. Over the past ...

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EURO & Sterling - Trade Note

21 November 2017 /

EURO chart: The major pair pushed back above a consolidation high at 1.1690 in the previous week, and this takes the immediate pressure off ...

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Naspers / Tencent - "Tencent Q3 result a knock-out" 20/11/2017

20 November 2017 /

Tencent, 33,3% owned by Naspers, continues to outperform market expectations and for the third quarter of F2017 increased non-GAAP earnings ...

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EUR/GBP – Two trades lining up

17 November 2017 /

Recommendation: BUY EURGBP/THEN SELL SHORT AFTER NEXT RALLY Current Trend: Short-term sideways. Med-term down. Long-term up (for euro). ...

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[JSE:SPP] Spar - Good for you?

17 November 2017 /

Its Friday! The rand is strong! And finally we can trade Spar again!

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S&P 500 – Still in temporary pullback mode

16 November 2017 /

Recommendation: HOLD/LOOK TO BUY Current Trend: Up on all main timeframes. Strategy: Hold (with caution). Otherwise buy a close above line ...

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EUR/USD - Trade Update 16 November 2017

16 November 2017 /

Trading the EUR/USD currency pair This trade on the EUR/USD has been delivering some excitement over the last couple of weeks. On the chart ...

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[JSE:WHL] Woolies - Short Signal

16 November 2017 /

WHL short has been triggered by closing below 5500 and we have entered a short trade. Our full trade summary is indicated within this ...

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Consolidated Infrastructure Group [JSE:CIL] - Share Price Update

14 November 2017 /

Consolidated Infrastructure share price drops more than 60% on poor trading update. Consolidated infrastructure group’s share price took a ...

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Richemont - "Glamorous goodies" 13/11/2017

13 November 2017 /

The kernel of the investment case for this maker of glamorous goodies is a robust business model with the flexibility to adapt, steady cash ...

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S&P 500 – A minor pullback

10 November 2017 /

Recommendation: BUY THIS PULLBACK Current Trend: Up on all main timeframes, but overbought. Strategy: Buy on a breaking of its prior ...

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CAD/CHF – Breaking out

9 November 2017 /

Recommendation: BUY Current Trend: Short and med-term up. Long-term sideways to up. Strategy: Buy at current levels for the short and ...

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[JSE:SPG] Super Group Ltd - Technical Note

7 November 2017 /

Super Group Limited SPG looks like its forming a nice head and shoulders on a daily chart. The 50 day moving average is relatively far away ...

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[JSE:WHL] Woolies - Technical Note

7 November 2017 /

WHL has been such an interesting share to trade. After a couple of unsuccessful trades we try again for the 3rd time lucky. But this time ...

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AVI - "Stepping Out" 06/11/2017

6 November 2017 /

I am on record as being cautious about exposure to consumer stocks. However, I have also maintained that one size doesn’t fit all, some ...

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Mediclinic International [JSE:MEI] - Trade Note

3 November 2017 /

Mediclinic International [JSE:MEI] I was alerted to Mediclinic by a client, for the technical traders out there the company is looking ...

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[JSE:SOL] - Sasol Limited Technical Take Update

2 November 2017 /

SASOL LIMITED (SOL) – SECOND TARGET PRICE REACHED What a trade on Sasol Limited (SOL) and for the traders that kept the trade open it has ...

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Trading USD/JPY - Technical Analysis

2 November 2017 /

So we have a nice potential breakout for the USD/JPY. Non Farm Payroll this week will in my opinion cause a breakout either way.

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 3 November 2017

2 November 2017 /

U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls being released Friday at 14:30 Friday is jobs day in the U.S.—with the October Non-Farm Payrolls being released at ...

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GBP/CAD – Higher Target

1 November 2017 /

Recommendation: BUY Current Trend: Short and med-term up. Long-term sideways. Strategy: Buy on a minor e.g. 2-3 day pullback.

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Long4Life - "From a standing start to R5 billion" 30/10/2017

30 October 2017 /

The indefatigable Brian Joffe, who recently turned 70 years of age, has invested his considerable business acumen in a start-up called ...

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Mediclinic - "Spire offers opportunity" 23/10/2017

24 October 2017 /

Spire Healthcare Group PLC has swatted away a possible offer from Mediclinic to acquire the shares it does not already own. Spire is a ...

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Pick n Pay - "Chipper stuff" 18/10/2017

18 October 2017 /

On Tuesday, 17 October, grocer Pick n Pay reported interim results, which were presented to fund managers and analysts in Cape Town. The ...

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FirstRand - "Online in England" 16/10/2017

16 October 2017 /

A good fit?: It is not just Capitec that does things differently. There are plenty of overseas examples, one of which is Aldermore in ...

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Taste Holdings - "Vasbyt" 13/10/2017

13 October 2017 /

The question the investor wants to know is, do I head for the hills and cut my losses or do I vasbyt and wait for the strategy to unfold? ...

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Glencore - "A larger slice of Volcan" 09/10/2017

9 October 2017 /

“A larger slice of Volcan” Glencore Sector: Mining Share price: LSE 364 pence; JSE 6620 cents Net shares in issue: 14,4 billion LSE and JSE ...

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BizNews: Running rule over hot stock Glencore – has it risen too far?

5 October 2017 /

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[JSE:VOD] - Vodacom Fundamental Analysis 05/10/2017

5 October 2017 /

"Abuse or not?" [JSE:VOD] Vodacom Sector: Mobile Telecommunications Share price: R154,30 Net shares in issue: 1,7 billion Market cap: ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls release Friday 6 October 2017

5 October 2017 /

U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls being released Friday at 14:30 Friday is jobs day in the U.S.—with the Non-Farm Payrolls being released at 14:30 in ...

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[JSE:PIK] - Pick n Pay Fundamental Analysis 04/10/2017

4 October 2017 /

"In shape for tougher times" [JSE:PIK] Pick n Pay Sector: Grocery Retail Share price: R56,17 Net shares in issue: 482,3 million Market ...

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[JSE:SHP] - Shoprite Fundamental Analysis

28 September 2017 /

"Trolley for trolley it's worth paying more" [JSE:SHP] Shoprite

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Sasol, "BEE calm and remain invested" 21 September 2017 - MN Ingham

21 September 2017 /

Sasol [JSE:SOL], "BEE calm and remain invested" Energy: Sasol “BEE calm and remain invested” Share price: R372,00 ...

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CPI Numbers Release

20 September 2017 /

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Naspers hits another record discount to it's stake in Tencent

20 September 2017 /

The discount that Naspers is on relative to its share of Tencent is now 32%. To put that in perspective, the share price of Naspers would ...

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[JSE:DSY] "Growth Stock Rating"- Discovery

18 September 2017 /

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[JSE:APN] "Watch that forex"- Aspen

12 September 2017 /

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Upcoming JSE Results Roundup 11 to 27 September 2017

8 September 2017 /

Mark Ingham's insights into JSE listed results being released 11 to 27th September 2017 - Included in this roundup: 11 September - AVI 27 ...

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[JSE:SRR:STAR] "A PEP in its step"- Steinhoff Africa Retail Limited

5 September 2017 /

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Upcoming JSE Results Roundup 6 to 12 September 2017

1 September 2017 /

Mark Ingham's insights into JSE listed results being released 6 to 12th September 2017 - Included in this roundup: 06 September - Sanlam ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls release Friday 1 September

31 August 2017 /

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Upcoming JSE Results Roundup 28 to 30 August 2017

25 August 2017 /

Mark Ingham's insights into JSE listed results being released 28 to 30th August 2017 - Included in this roundup: 28 August - Bidvest 30 ...

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"Yay or Nay"- Naspers AGM, Time to vote.- M N Ingham

24 August 2017 /

The 103rd annual general meeting of Naspers Limited will be held in Cape Town on Friday 25 August 2017 at 11H15. There will be a number of ...

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Upcoming Results Roundup 21 to 24 August 2017

18 August 2017 /

Mark Ingham's insights into JSE listed results being released 21 to 24th August 2017 - Included in this roundup: 21 August - Sasol 22 ...

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