GT247.com Trading Blog | Research Notes

Wall Street Wednesday Technical Trade Note - 17 October 2018

17 October 2018 /

Wall Street Wednesday Technical Trade Note – 17 October 2018 With the major selloff we saw in international markets last week, the market ...

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Spot EPS eases off - Mark Ingham 15 October 2018

15 October 2018 /

Sasol “Spot EPS eases off” Share price: R524 Net shares in issue: 624.5 million Market cap: R327.2 billion F2019 PE ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 10 October 2018

10 October 2018 /

Mainstream economists are warning that there are signs pointing to a market implosion in cryptocurrencies on the horizon. Juniper Research, ...

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Tencent dog still wagging the Naspers tail - Mark Ingham 09 October 2018

9 October 2018 /

Cable and Satellite Media Naspers/Tencent “Tencent dog still wagging the Naspers tail” NPN share price ZAR: R2,870 NPN net ...

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Technical Trade note on DAX 30 - 9 October 2018

9 October 2018 /

I am revisiting my trade note I did on the German index (DAX 30) from 26 June where it looked like the early formation of a head and ...

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Technical Outlook on Wall Street 30 for Non-Farm Payrolls 5 October 2018

5 October 2018 /

I am currently looking at the Wall Street 30 to see if the current pattern will playout or not. The Wall Street 30 is currently in a rising ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 5th October 2018

4 October 2018 /

U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) release Friday 5thof October 2018 Non-Farm Payrolls are usually reported on the first Friday of the month, ...

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Imperial: "Value ahead of Motus unbundling", MN Ingham, 3 October 2018

4 October 2018 /

Industrial Transportation “Value ahead of Motus unbundling” Share price:R167.00 Net shares in issue: 200 million Market cap: ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 03 October 2018

3 October 2018 /

Not much has changed in the cryptocurrency world since my last newsflash note, except that the latest craze in this space is a thing called ...

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Technical trade note on Sibanye-Stillwater (SGL)

2 October 2018 /

Sibanye has had its fair share of hardships this year, but it seems that the miner’s share price might just be set for a turn around. We ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 27 September 2018

28 September 2018 /

Red flags were raised as news surfaced that some exchanges have reported obscure trading volumes being on their platforms. BitForex, a ...

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Wall Street Wednesday Technical Trade Note - 26 September 2018

26 September 2018 /

Trade Conviction: Medium With the pending interest rate decision later tonight, we might just see the U.S Indices have a sell-off in the ...

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Merafe: "Ferrochrome remains buoyant", MN Ingham, 25 September 2018

26 September 2018 /

Mining Merafe “Ferrochrome remains buoyant” Share price:163 cents Net shares in issue: 2,51 billion Market ...

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U.S Federal Reserve (FED) interest rate decision & impact on South Africa 26 September 2018

26 September 2018 /

The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce whether the interest rates in the U.S. will increase or ...

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Technical Trade Note on BHP Billiton (BIL) - 21 September 2018

21 September 2018 /

It has been a month since my previous note on BHP Billiton, after hitting our target price the price action has moved significantly lower. ...

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Technical Trade Note on Nasdaq 100 - 21 September 2018

21 September 2018 /

With the U.S. markets pushing higher to all time highs I am looking at the tech sector and the Nasdaq 100 index to do the same over the ...

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South African Interest Rate Decision

20 September 2018 /

The South African Reserve Bank (SARB)’s monetary policy committee will announce the interest rate decisions today at 15:00 South African ...

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Technical Trade note on Sasol Limited (JSE:SOL) - 20 September 2018

20 September 2018 /

Our Sasol Limited (SOL) trade did not trigger and sold off within the bull flag back to the trend support line (Red dotted). I have revised ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 18 September 2018

18 September 2018 /

The battered and bruised cryptocurrency market does not seem to deter the number of new hedge fund entrants into the market. According to ...

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Technical Trade note on Sasol Limited (JSE:SOL) - 17 September 2018

17 September 2018 /

Looking at the price action of Sasol Limited (SOL) we can see the price has been in an uptrend over the last couple of months. Taking a ...

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UK Interest Rate Decision 13 September 2018

13 September 2018 /

The Bank of England (BOE) monetary policy committee will be announcing their interest rate decision today at 13:00 South African time. Here ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 12 September 2018

12 September 2018 /

Cryptocurrencies have plunged to new depths on Wednesday as the Crypto Crash of 2018 has now surpassed the Dot-Com crash we saw in the year ...

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Naspers claws back some of the discount to Tencent, MN Ingham, 11 September 2018

11 September 2018 /

On a relative basis, Naspers has outperformed Tencent in the past few weeks. This relative outperformance of late could reverse in time so ...

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Technical Trade note on Vodacom Group Limited (VOD) - 11 September 2018

11 September 2018 /

CONVICTION: MEDIUM With the spotlight firmly on the telecoms sector over the last couple of weeks, Vodacom Group Limited (VOD) might be set ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 7th September 2018

7 September 2018 /

U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) release Friday 7 September Non-Farm Payrolls are usually reported on the first Friday of the month, whereby ...

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Technical trade idea on South 32 Limited (S32) - 6 September 2018

6 September 2018 /

CONVICTION: HIGH (if resistance is broken) South 32 Limited (S32) a diversified miner recently released some solid results and is looking ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 6 September 2018

6 September 2018 /

Cryptocurrencies fell sharply on Wednesday to a nine-month low as concerns are growing that the broader adoption of cryptocurrencies will ...

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Wall Street Wednesday Technical Trade Note - 05 September 2018

5 September 2018 /

Trade Conviction: Medium The U.S markets have been the focus of much debate over the last couple of days as market analysts contemplate if ...

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Sasol - Newsflash - Spot 2020 EPS edges closer to R100

4 September 2018 /

Sasol “Spot 2020 EPS edges closer to R100” Share price: R575 Net shares in issue: 612,2 million Market cap: R352 ...

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Technical trade note on Nymex Light Crude / West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil - 4 September 2018

4 September 2018 /

U.S sanction on Iran has put oil back into the spotlight as the world’s top buyers of oil are starting to feel the squeeze. Countries like ...

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BHP Billiton - Giving back cash

31 August 2018 /

BHP BILLITON Share price: AUD33,78 ASX, GBP16,69 LSE, ZAR319,80 JSE Net shares in issue: 2,11 billion LSE and JSE Net shares in issue: 3,21 ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 28 August 2018

28 August 2018 /

The price of Bitcoin is ticking higher once more even though news surfaced that the adoption of Blockchain technology in corporate America ...

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Nasdaq 100 trade update - 27 August 2018

27 August 2018 /

The Nasdaq 100 is at all-time highs and the technical trade note has played out well. We have reached our target price and I have move our ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 24 August 2018

24 August 2018 /

On Wednesday we saw a surge in the Bitcoin price to $6875 as another round of Crypto exchange traded fund (ETF) providers were due for ...

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Bidcorp results - stock offering attractive comparable value

23 August 2018 /

Bidcorp presents comparatively good value relative to international peers. At R290, the stock trades on a forward PE of 20x and EV/EBITDA ...

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Wall Street Wednesday Technical Trade Note - 22 August 2018

22 August 2018 /

Trade Conviction: Medium Just as quick as the U.S. market reached new highs on Tuesday, sending the S&P to a new intraday record we saw an ...

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Technical trade note on BHP Billiton (BIL) - 21 August 2018

21 August 2018 /

BHP Billiton (BIL) has released solid results for the period ending the 30th of June 2018. With an increase in profits over the period to a ...

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Technical trade note on Nasdaq 100 - 20 August 2018

20 August 2018 /

The infamous FAANG stocks have been under pressure of late but looking at the bigger picture, the Nasdaq 100 is still pushing higher ever ...

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Technical trade note on S&P500 - 17 August 2018

17 August 2018 /

The U.S markets have rebounded significantly from the recent sell off we saw internationally on Wednesday. Yesterday we saw dip buyers ...

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Naspers, Overreaction to Tencent Q2, MN Ingham, 16 August 2018

16 August 2018 /

The Naspers reaction yesterday to the Tencent Q2 and six month result was overdone. Naspers was down 8% to R3,060 per share. The result ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 14 August 2018

14 August 2018 /

Cryptocurrencies just can’t seem to catch a break as we saw Bitcoin fell over 6% below $6000 per coin in the Tuesday morning trading ...

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Forex Technical Note USD GBP EUR ZAR - 10 August 2018

10 August 2018 /

We have seen volatility return to emerging market currencies as the Turkish Lira lost over 5% in yesterday’s trade and is continuing its ...

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Technical trade note on Wall Street 30 Updated - 8 August 2018

8 August 2018 /

We have seen some positive movement on Wall Street 30 from the release of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) number. The number came in a lot ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 08 August 2018

8 August 2018 /

Bitcoin has broken down from the $6879 support level as highlighted in our crypto newsflash note from the 6th of August. The cryptocurrency ...

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Brait - Mind the gap

7 August 2018 /

I continue to recommend avoiding Brait. The latest results from troubled New Look don’t hold out much hope that we’ll see recovery in that ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 06 August 2018

6 August 2018 /

Crypto currencies, especially Bitcoin came under pressure over the last week, giving back almost all the gains from the July breakout. The ...

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Technical trade note on Wall Street 30 - 3 August 2018

3 August 2018 /

I will be looking at Wall Street 30 as my Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) trade as the jobs number will have a direct impact on the index. Two ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 3rd August 2018

3 August 2018 /

Non-Farm Payrolls are usually reported on the first Friday of the month, whereby the number of additional jobs added from the previous ...

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Sasol Fundamental Analysis- Pick a number

2 August 2018 /

Further to my trading statement analysis dated 20 July, as each day that goes by with Brent crude oil at above $70/bbl so the EPS effect ...

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UK Interest Rate Decision 2 August 2018

2 August 2018 /

The Bank of England (BOE) monetary policy committee will be announcing their interest rate decision today at 13:00 South African time. ...

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U.S Federal Reserve (FED) interest rate decision & impact on South Africa.

1 August 2018 /

The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce whether the interest rates in the U.S. will increase or ...

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Glencore Fundamental Analysis- Q2 production has no surprises but legal issues dampen investment case

1 August 2018 /

Glencore Q2 production had no surprises and annual guidance has been kept, with the exception of lead and coal that are revised slightly. ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 31 July 2018

31 July 2018 /

Bitcoin has been a hot topic over the month of July as we saw the cryptocurrency surge over the $8000/ coin mark. With the price currently ...

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Cryptocurrency Newsflash - 25 July 2018

25 July 2018 /

Cryptocurrency Newsflash – 25/07/2018 The burning question on every cryptocurrency investor’s mind is whether Bitcoin is back? ...

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Technical trade note on Wall Street 30

24 July 2018 /

With earnings season in full swing I will be looking to buy Wall Street 30 if we see a daily close above the 25225 price level.

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Technical trade note on the FTSE 100

24 July 2018 /

In conjunction with our GBP/USD currency pair trade from earlier today I will be looking to buy the FTSE 100 if we see a daily close above ...

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Kumba Iron Ore Fundamental Analysis- Check the change in divided policy.

24 July 2018 /

Mining - Kumba Iron Ore

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Technical trade note on GBP/USD

24 July 2018 /

There might be more down side for the GBP/USD currency pair from current levels if we see the Dollar (USD) strengthen from current levels.

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AngloGold Ashanti Fundamental Analysis - Barrick veteran appointed new CEO

24 July 2018 /

AngloGold Ashanti

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Sasol Fundamental Analysis - Trading statement analysis

20 July 2018 /

Sasol Share price: R500 Net shares in issue: 610,7 million Market cap: R305,5 billion Forward PE F2018: 12,1x Forward dividend yield: 2,6% ...

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Technical trade notes ahead of interest rate decision - 19 July 2018

19 July 2018 /

With the looming interest rate decision, we might see some movement on the local front. I will be looking at the Alsi Sept 18 and the ...

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South African Interest Rate Decision - 19 July 2018

19 July 2018 /

The South African Reserve Bank (SARB)’s monetary policy committee will announce the interest rate decisions today at 15:00 South African ...

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Cryptocurrency Flash News - 18 July 2018

18 July 2018 /

Cryptocurrency Flash news – 18/07/2018 Cryptocurrencies have made a turn around since the weekend and we have seen Bitcoin gain over 3% ...

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Sibanye Fundamental Analysis - Wheaton streams in cash

18 July 2018 /

Sibanye “Wheaton streams in cash” Share price: R7,38 Net shares in issue:2,2 billion Market cap: R16,0 billion On a blended DCF and EV ...

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Technical trade AUD / USD - 16 July 2018

16 July 2018 /

Trade note on AUD/USD 16 July 2018 If we see weakness coming through on the Dollar index (DXY) from current levels we might just see the ...

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Fundamental Analysis BHP Billiton - Iron ore ends the year positively

13 July 2018 /

BHP BILLITON Sector: Mining Share price: AUD33,33 ASX, GBP16,42 LSE, ZAR287,87 JSE Net shares in issue: 2,11 billion LSE and JSE Net shares ...

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Technical trade BRENT CRUDE OIL - 12 July 2018

12 July 2018 /

As soon as news broke out that the Saudis had indicated that they may raise production to a record 11 million barrels a day with effect ...

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Steinhoff - Option pricing

11 July 2018 /

Steinhoff - “Option pricing” Fundamentals by Mark Ingham In providing context, I think the result for the six months ended 31 March 2018 ...

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Trading Cryptocurrency, Bitcoin & Ethereum

6 July 2018 /

What can be said about Cryptocurrency that has not been said or talked about before? Crypto has been the global talking point over the last ...

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Technical trade GOLD (XAU) - 6 July 2018

6 July 2018 /

Trade idea on Gold (XAU) We have seen a selloff in Gold (XAU) over the month of June and it looks like the buyers are returning to the ...

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Technical Trade Note Kumba Iron Ore JSE:KIO - Updated

5 July 2018 /

Update – Kumba Iron Ore (KIO) – 04/07/2018 Kumba Iron Ore (KIO) has finally reached our first target price of 32499c and it has been a real ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 6th July 2018

4 July 2018 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release It is time again for the monthly US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers to be released. The US Non-Farm Payroll ...

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Glencore DOJ investigation perspective by Mark Ingham

3 July 2018 /

Just as Glencore thought it had put a few headaches behind it in DR Congo, the miner receives a subpoena from the US Department of Justice ...

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Sibanye, Legal shakedown looms by Mark Ingham

2 July 2018 /

Sibanye “Legal shakedown looms” Share price: R8,00 Net shares in issue:2,2 billion Market cap: R17,6 billion Blended DCF and EV basis I ...

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Technical trade DAX 30 Index - 26 June 2018

26 June 2018 /

Trade idea on the DAX 30 Waning economic data out of Germany over the last six months has seen German IFO business climate sentiment Index ...

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Kumba Iron Ore, trading statement context

26 June 2018 /

Kumba Iron Ore, trading statement context First half earnings will be a lot lower than the first half of F2017. Whilst KIO is guiding ...

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U.K Interest Rate Decision

21 June 2018 /

The Bank of England (BOE) monetary policy committee will be announcing their interest rate decision today at 13:00 South African time.

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Technical trade note Truworths - 19 June 2018

19 June 2018 /

Trade idea on Truworths International Limited (TRU) The price of Truworths International Limited (TRU) has been consolidating over the last ...

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Anglo American in a good space with respect to the draft mining charter 18 June 2018 by Mark Ingham

18 June 2018 /

Anglo American “Anglo American in a good space with respect to the draft mining charter” Sector: Mining Share ...

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Technical trade note ALSI - 15 June 2018

15 June 2018 /

We have seen a steady decline in the Rand over the last couple of trading sessions due to economic and political uncertainty combined with ...

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Grindrod Shipping listing on NASDAQ 13 June 2018 by Mark Ingham

13 June 2018 /

Grindrod With respect to the impending Primary Listing of Grindrod Shipping on the NASDAQ (18 June 2018) and Secondary Listing on the JSE ...

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Technical trade note Old Mutual PLC - 13 June 2018

13 June 2018 /

Trade idea on Old Mutual PLC (OML) This Old Mutual PLC (OML) trade opportunity was brought to my attention by Piru Harington who is one of ...

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How the FED interest rate decision will impact South Africa

13 June 2018 /

U.S Federal Reserve (FED) interest rate decision & impact on South Africa. The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ...

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Technical trade note GBP/USD - 12 June 2018

12 June 2018 /

Trade idea on GBP/USD The GBP/USD (cable rate) has been moving lower as we see U.K Prime Minister Theresa May’s landmark Brexit deal goes ...

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Sibanye Gold Limited (trading as Sibanye-Stillwater) 07 June 2018 by Mark Ingham

8 June 2018 /

Sibanye has halved in price since the announcement on 14 December 2017 that Sibanye and Lonmin reached agreement on the terms of a ...

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Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited 06 June 2018 by Mark Ingham

7 June 2018 /

As part and parcel of the Moab Khotsong acquisitions, Harmony has successfully raised new capital via an initial share placement and a ...

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Technical trade note NASDAQ - 01 June 2018

7 June 2018 /

Update – NASDAQ trade note – 07/06/2018 Our Non-Farm Pay rolls trade idea on the NASDAQ has had a stellar run and reached our first target ...

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Sasol - Forward spot EPS surges, 05 June 2018

5 June 2018 /

Sasol | Fundamental and Technical Note “Forward spot EPS surges” Sector: Energy Share price: R479 Net shares in issue: 610,7 ...

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Technical trade note BARCLAYS [JSE:BGA] - 05 June 2018

5 June 2018 /

Trade idea on Barclays Africa Group Ltd. (BGA) I have been keeping an eye on Barclays Africa Grp Limited (BGA) after a head and shoulder ...

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Technical trade note PALLADIUM [XPD/USD] - 04 June 2018

4 June 2018 /

Technical take on Palladium (XPD/USD) The commodities have been in focus over the last couple of months with the looming trade war between ...

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MTN Iran update, MN Ingham, 31 May 2018

1 June 2018 /

MTN Iran update On MTN, US sanctions on Iran will prevent MTN from bringing back at least R1,5 billion per annum in cash to SA. I estimate ...

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Technical trade note African Rainbow Mineral Limited [ARI] - 01 June 2018

1 June 2018 /

Trade idea on African Rainbow Mineral Limited (ARI) African Rainbow Mineral Limited (ARI) have been testing the 11419c per share level on a ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 1st June 2018

30 May 2018 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release Yes, folks it is that time again for the monthly US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers to be released. The US ...

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STAR interim result assessment 29 May 2018 by Mark Ingham

29 May 2018 /

Catch a falling STAR? Underlying result is mixed and a touch weaker than may have been expected. Negative Steinhoff sentiment and the ...

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Technical trade note GOLD [XAU] - 29 May 2018

29 May 2018 /

Technical Trade Note on $GOLD [XAU] We have seen the price of Gold (XAU) move lower over the last two months. The price is currently ...

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SARB rate decision market implications by Mark Ingham

25 May 2018 /

SARB rate decision probably net supportive of ZAR but rate cutting is unlikely for the near future as the SARB is reluctant to be ...

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Trade idea on the USD/ZAR currency pair - 24 May

24 May 2018 /

Trade idea on the USD/ZAR currency pair. Looking at the USD/ZAR today, we might see some movement in the currency due to the Reserve Bank ...

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SP500 - technical trade note 22 May 2018

22 May 2018 /

Trade Idea on S&P 500 I have been following the movement of the S&P 500 closely over the last couple of weeks and with the re-test of the ...

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Kumba Fundamental Update 22 May 2018 by Mark Ingham

22 May 2018 /

Kumba is maintaining its production target at 44 to 45 million for the year and is targeting margin expansion and life-of-mine extension.

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Updated Mondi Limited JSE:MND - technical trade note 21 May 2018

21 May 2018 /

Update (2) - Mondi Limited (MND) (21/05/2018) What a roller coaster ride on Mondi Limited (MND) and we have finally reached our first ...

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Technical Trade Note Glencore PLC [JSE:GLN] 15 May 2018

15 May 2018 /

Technical trade note Glencore PLC (GLN) (15/05/2018) Glencore PLC (GLN) is setting up for a buy if we can get a close above 6492c per ...

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Technical Trade Note AUD/CHF - 14 May 2018

14 May 2018 /

Update – (16/05/2018) - AUD/CHF

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Q1 Tencent results due 16 May 2018 by Mark Ingham

11 May 2018 /

Tencent, now 31,2% owned by Naspers after selling 190 million shares or 2% of the 9,5 billion Tencent stock in issue, is reporting ...

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Sasol diesel pricing update by Mark Ingham

10 May 2018 /

Latest trends in diesel are positive for Sasol. Diesel pricing is reflecting growth in industrial production, with international distillate ...

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UK Interest Rate Decision

10 May 2018 /

The Bank of England (BOE) monetary policy committee will be releasing their interest rate decision today at 13:00 South African time. ...

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Technical Trade Note Brent Crude Oil

9 May 2018 /

Trade idea on BRENT CRUDE OIL (ICE) The oil prices have swung wildly the last couple of days and with the U.S pulling out of the Iran ...

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Technical Trade Note Clicks [JSE:CLS]

8 May 2018 /

UPDATE - Clicks Group Limited (CLS) We have seen the share price surge this morning over 3% due to the inclusion of the stock into the MSCI ...

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Technical Trade Note Sappi [JSE:SAP]

8 May 2018 /

Trade idea on Sappi Limited (SAP) Sappi Limited (SAP) has formed a rounding bottom technical pattern and looks good for a buy at a close ...

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Trade idea on EUR/USD

4 May 2018 /

Update - Trade possibilities on EUR/USD (17/05/2018) We have closed our trade on the EUR/USD for a 112-pip profit. Due to some indecision ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 4th May 2018

3 May 2018 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release Yes, folks it is that time again for the monthly US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers to be released. The US ...

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Updated Mondi Limited JSE:MND - technical trade note 2 May 2018

2 May 2018 /

Update - Mondi Limited (MND) We have reached our first target price on Mondi Ltd (MND) and celebrating yet another profitable trade we ...

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FED interest rate decision 2nd May 2018

2 May 2018 /

U.S Federal Reserve (FED) interest rate decision The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce whether the ...

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Exxaro Resources Ltd JSE:EXX - technical trade note

25 April 2018 /

Update (16/05/2018) - Exxaro Resources Ltd (EXX) Exxaro Resources Ltd (EXX) has reached our first target price of 12582c per share. We ...

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BHP Billiton PLC JSE:BIL - technical trade note

18 April 2018 /

Update (3) - BHP Billiton PLC (BIL) target price 3 reached (17/05/2018). BHP Billiton PLC (BIL) has crossed our third target price of ...

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Mondi Limited JSE:MND - technical trade note

18 April 2018 /

Trade idea on Mondi Limited (MND) There is a high probability that the price on Mondi Limited (MND) will move higher looking at the inverse ...

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Mediclinic International PLC JSE:MEI - technical trade note

17 April 2018 /

Trade idea on Mediclinic International PLC (MEI) I am looking to buy Mediclinic International PLC (MEI) at 10500c with a first target price ...

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Old Mutual - Ready for London exit by Mark Ingham

17 April 2018 /

Old Mutual has not been a favoured choice for me in insurance, with Discovery my top pick, followed by Sanlam. Old Mutual’s Belville ...

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Trade idea on Old Mutual PLC (OML)

11 April 2018 /

Trade idea on Old Mutual PLC (OML)

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Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA JSE:CFR - technical trade note

10 April 2018 /

Trade idea on Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA (CFR) The price action in Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA (CFR) has been testing the ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 6th April 2018

4 April 2018 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release Yes, folks it is that time again for the monthly US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers to be released. The number ...

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$USDCAD - Forex technical trade note

4 April 2018 /

I am looking to place a short trade on the USD/CAD as I have spotted a Head and Shoulders technical pattern on the currency pair. Also keep ...

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$USDJPY - Forex technical trade note

4 April 2018 /

I have spotted an inverse Head and Shoulders technical pattern on the USD/JPY currency pair and I am looking to place a long trade. Please ...

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Capitec Rallying round - [JSE:CPI] by Mark Ingham

29 March 2018 /

In my recent strategy note on banks (see “Richer Ramaphosa Rating” dated 22 March) I assessed only the big four banks, excluding Capitec as ...

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Richer Ramaphosa Rating - Big 4 banks by Mark Ingham

22 March 2018 /

The big four banks, FirstRand, Standard Bank, Barclays Africa Group, and Nedbank, are particularly sensitive to fluctuations in long bond ...

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NASDAQ - Potential "short" technical note

19 March 2018 /

I will be looking to place a short trade on the NASDAQ as it seems to be breaking out of a rising wedge formation. I am looking for a close ...

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Naspers - Potential "buy" technical note

14 March 2018 /

Naspers has presented a trade opportunity, and I am looking to go long as the price action has broken out from a descending channel, and a ...

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Imperial Holdings- A potential "short" technical note

14 March 2018 /

I am looking to place a short trade on Imperial Holdings Limited if I get a daily close below the 23700c level. The technical set up looks ...

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Progressive dividend hard to justify - MTN [JSE:MTN] by Mark Ingham

14 March 2018 /

What was noteworthy about the 2017 annual result was a return to a “progressive” dividend policy, the sort of policy that hit a buffer once ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 9 March 2018

6 March 2018 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release Yes, folks it is that time again for the monthly US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers to be released. Usually the ...

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EUR/USD - GO LONG (WITH CAUTION)

2 March 2018 /

EUR/USD – Daily Recommendation: GO LONG (WITH CAUTION) Current Trend: Short-term down, but oversold. Med and long-term up. Strategy: Go ...

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Trade Gold - SELL SHORT ON A BOUNCE

2 March 2018 /

GOLD ($) Current Trend: Short-term down. Med-term up. Long-term sideways to up. Strategy: Sell short on a bounce to $1325. Chart and ...

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Strengthening fundamentals - ANGLO AMERICAN [JSE:AGL] by Mark Ingham

1 March 2018 /

Since my last note on Anglo American dated 16 February (see “South African political tailwind”) the company has reported a pleasing set of ...

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Undervalued offshore opportunity on rand strength - BIDCORP [JSE:BID] by Mark Ingham

27 February 2018 /

Bidcorp, the international foodservice specialist, reported good underlying constant currency results for the six months ended 31 December ...

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S&P 500 INDEX - Temporary pullback

26 February 2018 /

Recommendation: BUY AGAIN AFTER A PULLBACK Current Trend: Short-term technically still down. Med-term sideways. Long-term up.

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Trading the USD/ZAR currency pair ahead of the budget speech

21 February 2018 /

*You can only trade this currency pair with the GT247.com USD account. Today’s budget speech (21 February 2018) is probably the most ...

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USD/ZAR - Technical Trade Note

20 February 2018 /

USD/ZAR – Daily Recommendation: LOOK TO GO LONG RANDS AGAIN *You can only trade this currency pair with the GT247.com USD account. ...

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South African political tailwind - Anglo American by Mark Ingham

16 February 2018 /

A week is a long time in politics, a quote attributed to British Prime Minister Harold Wilson. In South Africa, the winds of political ...

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A hedged half - HARMONY GOLD [JSE:HAR] by M N Ingham

13 February 2018 /

Harmony produced a very solid set of interim results for the six months ended 31 December 2017. The result exceeded my earlier expectation ...

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Bid-divest- BIDVEST [JSE:BVT] by M N Ingham

8 February 2018 /

If you want an example on the JSE of the shift in political mood, Bidvest, among others, fits the bill. The stock price has been almost ...

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Long trade for Vodacom

6 February 2018 /

Trade summary: Long VOD Target price: 18000c Entry: 16500c Stop ...

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Holding the line- VODACOM [JSE:VOD] by M N Ingham

5 February 2018 /

Vodacom released a reasonable Q3 F2018 trading update but there is little fundamental reason to warrant a valuation upgrade. I tend to view ...

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Research Note on Gold (XAU)

2 February 2018 /

Research on Gold (XAU) I am looking to long Gold (XAU) yet again and I am looking for a clear break and close above $ 1352/ ounce level ...

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Wall Street 30 - Technical Trade Note

2 February 2018 /

Trade idea on Wall Street 30 I am looking to get into the Wall Street 30 for a long trade, I know that the index has been running hard but ...

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Mr Price trade - UPDATE 2

1 February 2018 /

UPDATE 2: Another Update on MR Price Limited (MRP) and still in the money The price on MR Price Limited (MRP) is still moving higher and I ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 2 Feb 2018

1 February 2018 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release Friday is jobs day in the U.S.—with the January Non-Farm Payrolls being released on the 2nd of Feb at 15:30 in ...

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Mispriced - MR PRICE [JSE:MRP] by M N Ingham

31 January 2018 /

Mr Price is a good apparel retailer that is mispriced. After climbing by 37% since the end of November and by over 60% in six months the ...

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Long trade for Telkom

26 January 2018 /

Trade summary: Long TKG Entry: 5000c Stop Loss: 4500c Target price: 6000c The share price has been under ...

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Short trade for Kumba Iron Ore

26 January 2018 /

Trade summary: Short KIO Entry: 35500c Stop Loss: 39000c Target price: 30300c The stock has been having a great ...

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Brent Crude - Technical Take

26 January 2018 /

Technical take on Brent Crude

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The Power of the Rand

25 January 2018 /

In recent days we have seen the Rand take strides and strengthen against the major currencies but more so against the US dollar, which has ...

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Expensive, even at $74/ton spot iron ore - Kumba Iron Ore by M N Ingham

25 January 2018 /

Kumba is now significantly overvalued on a fundamental evaluation. Despite easing back to around R350 per share from highs above R400 a ...

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Mr Price - First target reached (UPDATE)

25 January 2018 /

In the Money and Update on MR Price Limited (MRP) My MR Price Limited trade has finally reached my first target price of 27522c as seen in ...

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Capitec - First Target Reached (UPDATE)

25 January 2018 /

TRADE CONCLUDED: In the money stop loss of R1035.00 triggered on the 26 January 2017. First target of R1060.50 reached. Take half profits ...

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GBP/USD - Technical Trade Note

23 January 2018 /

Technical take on GBP/USD As you can see from the stochastic oscillator this currency pair has been in an overbought level for a while. ...

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CAC 40 and EURO STOXX 50 - Technical Trade Note

23 January 2018 /

Double Technical Take CAC 40 and EURO STOXX 50 Barry Dumas gives two technical takes on these Index's.

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Naspers - Technical Trade Note

23 January 2018 /

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Capitec - Go Long

22 January 2018 /

According to the Andrew’s Pitchfork technical analysis tool, Capitec is testing a key support level. Due to the strengthening Rand I expect ...

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Mischievous rumblings or grains of truth? - by M N Ingham

22 January 2018 /

The now infamous Viceroy have a cloak-and-dagger modus operandi within a guise of anonymity that disregards common professional scruple. ...

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Mr Price - Technical Trade Note

18 January 2018 /

Trade note on Mr Price Group Limited (MRP)

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Clicks - Technical Trade Note

17 January 2018 /

Retail results came out for the South African market today and they were very successful. Clicks performed very well last year and I am ...

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Palladium - Go Long

17 January 2018 /

Palladium has had a stellar rally recently but it recently recorded a minor retracement. Short-to-medium forecasts anticipate increased ...

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AUD/EUR - Technical Trade Note

16 January 2018 /

AUD/EUR – Daily Recommendation: SELL SHORT Trend: Short-term sideways. Med-term down. Strategy: Sell short on an intraday break of its ...

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Woolworths JSE:WHL - Technical Trade Note

16 January 2018 /

On 16 November I put out a short trade on WHL. The trade was stopped out as a result of the retail sector booming on the back of the strong ...

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Nikkei 225 - Technical Trade Note

16 January 2018 /

Trade idea on Nikkei 225 (NI225)

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Earnings in Davy Jones' locker - [JSE:WHL] by M N Ingham

15 January 2018 /

I’ve had a Sell recommendation on Woolworths for some time. In fact, three years back I advised that “Woolies has its hands full with its ...

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EUR/USD - Technical Trade Note

12 January 2018 /

EUR/USD – Daily Recommendation: BUY Trend: Up on all main timeframes. Strategy: Buy at current levels, and/or on a minor pullback.

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Trump's gift to Sasol - [JSE:SOL] by M N Ingham

12 January 2018 /

In December, US President Donald Trump signed into law H.R. 1, originally known as the “Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.” There are major changes to ...

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S&P 500 – BUY MINOR PULLBACKS

11 January 2018 /

S&P 500 INDEX – Higher target Recommendation: BUY MINOR PULLBACKS Current Trend: Up on all main timeframes. Strategy: Buy on a one or two ...

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Music to your ears - Naspers & Tencent by M N Ingham

9 January 2018 /

Tencent, 33,3% owned by Naspers, is not short on corporate activity or pipeline. Spotify, a leader in music streaming, and Tencent Music ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 5 January 2018

5 January 2018 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release Friday is jobs day in the U.S.—with the November Non-Farm Payrolls being released on Friday the 5 of January at ...

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Richemont [JSE:CFR] pressure from strong rand

21 December 2017 /

Richemont the ultimate rand hedge has developed a head and shoulders in recent times. If you’re bullish on the rand after the news that ...

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Capitec [JSE:CPI] - last run of the year

19 December 2017 /

Capitec has broken the resistance level of 1000.00. Currently at 1048.00, Look for a pullback to buy and hold. One can also look to buy now ...

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FINI 15 Index - Higher Target

14 December 2017 /

FINI 15 INDEX – Higher target The JSE financial 15 index (or ‘fini’) of large-cap financial stocks, has broken out above an important ...

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“Politics-proofing your portfolio” M N Ingham

13 December 2017 /

The 54th ANC national conference runs from the 16th to the 20th of December. A new ANC president is to be elected. The difference between ...

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Brent Crude - New Breakout Potential

8 December 2017 /

Recommendation: LOOK TO BUY Current Trend: Short-term sideways. Med-term up. Strategy: Buy a close above line 3.

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“Looking at Liquidity” Steinhoff [JSE:SNH] - M N Ingham

7 December 2017 /

The latest ad hoc announcement from Steinhoff has two components – one which begs more questions than it answers relating to the validity ...

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USD/JPY Breaking Out

7 December 2017 /

Recommendation: BUY Current Trend: Sideways on all main timeframes. Strategy: Go long the USD/JPY at current levels.

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 8 December 2017

7 December 2017 /

US Non-Farm Payroll Release Friday is jobs day in the U.S.—with the November Non-Farm Payrolls being released on the 8th December 2017 at ...

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“Ruptured Reputation” Steinhoff [JSE:SNH] - M N Ingham

6 December 2017 /

The damage Steinhoff faces, following acknowledgement by the Supervisory Board that there are in fact “accounting irregularitiesrequiring ...

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“Moab moolah” Harmony Gold - M N Ingham

4 December 2017 /

Harmony is getting a good deal for its purchase of three assets from AngloGold Ashanti, the most significant being Moab Khotsong mine in ...

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Gold (XAU) Technical Take

30 November 2017 /

Over the past several months, there has been good support on the pullbacks with the market continuing to put in higher highs and higher ...

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“No rating cliff edge but be cautious” - M N Ingham

28 November 2017 /

The ratings decisions by S&P and Moody’s tells us that which we already knew. S&P has been particularly forthright this past couple of ...

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GBP/CHF Moving up off support

27 November 2017 /

Recommendation: BUY Current Trend: Short-term sideways. Med and long-term up. Strategy: Buy at current levels/ add to on a further breakout ...

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[JSE:CFR] Richemont - Trading junk status with hedges

27 November 2017 /

On Friday we got downgraded to Junk by S&P and we saw our beloved rand weaken again. In times like these we like to run to our rand hedges ...

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S&P 500 – Heading towards target

23 November 2017 /

Recommendation: HOLD Current Trend: Up on all main timeframes. Strategy: Continue to hold the current long position; look to tighten stops ...

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Anglo American PLC [JSE:AGL] - Trade Note

21 November 2017 /

Anglo American PLC This is one of my favourites to trade, as the share has been making higher highs for the last 6 months. Over the past ...

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EURO & Sterling - Trade Note

21 November 2017 /

EURO chart: The major pair pushed back above a consolidation high at 1.1690 in the previous week, and this takes the immediate pressure off ...

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Naspers / Tencent - "Tencent Q3 result a knock-out" 20/11/2017

20 November 2017 /

Tencent, 33,3% owned by Naspers, continues to outperform market expectations and for the third quarter of F2017 increased non-GAAP earnings ...

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EUR/GBP – Two trades lining up

17 November 2017 /

Recommendation: BUY EURGBP/THEN SELL SHORT AFTER NEXT RALLY Current Trend: Short-term sideways. Med-term down. Long-term up (for euro). ...

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[JSE:SPP] Spar - Good for you?

17 November 2017 /

Its Friday! The rand is strong! And finally we can trade Spar again!

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S&P 500 – Still in temporary pullback mode

16 November 2017 /

Recommendation: HOLD/LOOK TO BUY Current Trend: Up on all main timeframes. Strategy: Hold (with caution). Otherwise buy a close above line ...

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EUR/USD - Trade Update 16 November 2017

16 November 2017 /

Trading the EUR/USD currency pair This trade on the EUR/USD has been delivering some excitement over the last couple of weeks. On the chart ...

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[JSE:WHL] Woolies - Short Signal

16 November 2017 /

WHL short has been triggered by closing below 5500 and we have entered a short trade. Our full trade summary is indicated within this ...

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Consolidated Infrastructure Group [JSE:CIL] - Share Price Update

14 November 2017 /

Consolidated Infrastructure share price drops more than 60% on poor trading update. Consolidated infrastructure group’s share price took a ...

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Richemont - "Glamorous goodies" 13/11/2017

13 November 2017 /

The kernel of the investment case for this maker of glamorous goodies is a robust business model with the flexibility to adapt, steady cash ...

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S&P 500 – A minor pullback

10 November 2017 /

Recommendation: BUY THIS PULLBACK Current Trend: Up on all main timeframes, but overbought. Strategy: Buy on a breaking of its prior ...

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CAD/CHF – Breaking out

9 November 2017 /

Recommendation: BUY Current Trend: Short and med-term up. Long-term sideways to up. Strategy: Buy at current levels for the short and ...

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[JSE:SPG] Super Group Ltd - Technical Note

7 November 2017 /

Super Group Limited SPG looks like its forming a nice head and shoulders on a daily chart. The 50 day moving average is relatively far away ...

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[JSE:WHL] Woolies - Technical Note

7 November 2017 /

WHL has been such an interesting share to trade. After a couple of unsuccessful trades we try again for the 3rd time lucky. But this time ...

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AVI - "Stepping Out" 06/11/2017

6 November 2017 /

I am on record as being cautious about exposure to consumer stocks. However, I have also maintained that one size doesn’t fit all, some ...

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Mediclinic International [JSE:MEI] - Trade Note

3 November 2017 /

Mediclinic International [JSE:MEI] I was alerted to Mediclinic by a client, for the technical traders out there the company is looking ...

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[JSE:SOL] - Sasol Limited Technical Take Update

2 November 2017 /

SASOL LIMITED (SOL) – SECOND TARGET PRICE REACHED What a trade on Sasol Limited (SOL) and for the traders that kept the trade open it has ...

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Trading USD/JPY - Technical Analysis

2 November 2017 /

So we have a nice potential breakout for the USD/JPY. Non Farm Payroll this week will in my opinion cause a breakout either way.

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls [NFP] release Friday 3 November 2017

2 November 2017 /

U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls being released Friday at 14:30 Friday is jobs day in the U.S.—with the October Non-Farm Payrolls being released at ...

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GBP/CAD – Higher Target

1 November 2017 /

Recommendation: BUY Current Trend: Short and med-term up. Long-term sideways. Strategy: Buy on a minor e.g. 2-3 day pullback.

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Long4Life - "From a standing start to R5 billion" 30/10/2017

30 October 2017 /

The indefatigable Brian Joffe, who recently turned 70 years of age, has invested his considerable business acumen in a start-up called ...

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Mediclinic - "Spire offers opportunity" 23/10/2017

24 October 2017 /

Spire Healthcare Group PLC has swatted away a possible offer from Mediclinic to acquire the shares it does not already own. Spire is a ...

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Pick n Pay - "Chipper stuff" 18/10/2017

18 October 2017 /

On Tuesday, 17 October, grocer Pick n Pay reported interim results, which were presented to fund managers and analysts in Cape Town. The ...

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FirstRand - "Online in England" 16/10/2017

16 October 2017 /

A good fit?: It is not just Capitec that does things differently. There are plenty of overseas examples, one of which is Aldermore in ...

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Taste Holdings - "Vasbyt" 13/10/2017

13 October 2017 /

The question the investor wants to know is, do I head for the hills and cut my losses or do I vasbyt and wait for the strategy to unfold? ...

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Glencore - "A larger slice of Volcan" 09/10/2017

9 October 2017 /

“A larger slice of Volcan” Glencore Sector: Mining Share price: LSE 364 pence; JSE 6620 cents Net shares in issue: 14,4 billion LSE and JSE ...

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BizNews: Running rule over hot stock Glencore – has it risen too far?

5 October 2017 /

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[JSE:VOD] - Vodacom Fundamental Analysis 05/10/2017

5 October 2017 /

"Abuse or not?" [JSE:VOD] Vodacom Sector: Mobile Telecommunications Share price: R154,30 Net shares in issue: 1,7 billion Market cap: ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls release Friday 6 October 2017

5 October 2017 /

U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls being released Friday at 14:30 Friday is jobs day in the U.S.—with the Non-Farm Payrolls being released at 14:30 in ...

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[JSE:PIK] - Pick n Pay Fundamental Analysis 04/10/2017

4 October 2017 /

"In shape for tougher times" [JSE:PIK] Pick n Pay Sector: Grocery Retail Share price: R56,17 Net shares in issue: 482,3 million Market ...

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[JSE:SHP] - Shoprite Fundamental Analysis

28 September 2017 /

"Trolley for trolley it's worth paying more" [JSE:SHP] Shoprite

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Sasol, "BEE calm and remain invested" 21 September 2017 - MN Ingham

21 September 2017 /

Sasol [JSE:SOL], "BEE calm and remain invested" Energy: Sasol “BEE calm and remain invested” Share price: R372,00 ...

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CPI Numbers Release

20 September 2017 /

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Naspers hits another record discount to it's stake in Tencent

20 September 2017 /

The discount that Naspers is on relative to its share of Tencent is now 32%. To put that in perspective, the share price of Naspers would ...

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[JSE:DSY] "Growth Stock Rating"- Discovery

18 September 2017 /

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[JSE:APN] "Watch that forex"- Aspen

12 September 2017 /

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Upcoming JSE Results Roundup 11 to 27 September 2017

8 September 2017 /

Mark Ingham's insights into JSE listed results being released 11 to 27th September 2017 - Included in this roundup: 11 September - AVI 27 ...

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[JSE:SRR:STAR] "A PEP in its step"- Steinhoff Africa Retail Limited

5 September 2017 /

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Upcoming JSE Results Roundup 6 to 12 September 2017

1 September 2017 /

Mark Ingham's insights into JSE listed results being released 6 to 12th September 2017 - Included in this roundup: 06 September - Sanlam ...

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U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls release Friday 1 September

31 August 2017 /

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Upcoming JSE Results Roundup 28 to 30 August 2017

25 August 2017 /

Mark Ingham's insights into JSE listed results being released 28 to 30th August 2017 - Included in this roundup: 28 August - Bidvest 30 ...

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"Yay or Nay"- Naspers AGM, Time to vote.- M N Ingham

24 August 2017 /

The 103rd annual general meeting of Naspers Limited will be held in Cape Town on Friday 25 August 2017 at 11H15. There will be a number of ...

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Upcoming Results Roundup 21 to 24 August 2017

18 August 2017 /

Mark Ingham's insights into JSE listed results being released 21 to 24th August 2017 - Included in this roundup: 21 August - Sasol 22 ...

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